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2026-07-12 · Week 28 · reference document

What Is the Vig on -110 and How Do You Remove It? An Implied-Probability Conversion Reference (2026)

Every betting price is a probability with a margin folded in. This reference is the conversion toolkit: how to turn American and decimal odds into implied probabilities, why both sides of a market sum to more than 100%, and how to rescale them back to a fair, no-vig chance. Worked examples throughout, all re-derivable from the numbers shown. Reference material only — no picks, no affiliate links.

This is an educational reference document (PDF / Word), not an app or a betting product to download. WagerLex takes no wagers, publishes no picks, and runs no affiliate links.

What's inside

  • American-to-probability formulas for negative and positive prices, with worked figures
  • The decimal shortcut: implied probability is simply one divided by the decimal
  • Why a -110/-110 market sums to 104.76% and what that excess represents
  • Overround versus hold — two related numbers people often blur into one
  • Removing the vig by proportional rescaling, shown on a lopsided -200/+170 market
  • How to compare two books' prices on a common no-vig scale before you bet

Frequently asked

What is the vig on a -110 bet in plain numbers?

A -110 price implies a 52.38% probability, so both sides of a -110/-110 market sum to 104.76%. That 4.76% overround is the margin; expressed as a share of total stakes it is a theoretical hold of about 4.55%. That is the cost baked into a standard side.

How do I remove the vig from a two-sided price?

Convert both sides to implied probability, add them to get the total, then divide each by that total so they sum back to 100%. On a -200/+170 market the raw figures are 66.67% and 37.04% (sum 103.70%), and the no-vig chances are 64.29% and 35.71%.

Why does the no-vig probability matter?

It is the market's fair estimate with the house margin stripped out, which is the correct number to compare your own opinion against. Beating the no-vig price consistently is what an edge looks like; a bet priced at the no-vig number is fair, so backing it only pays the margin.

Is this a strategy for winning?

No. Converting prices and removing the vig tells you what a bet costs and what the market thinks — it does not create an edge or handicap any game. This is a maths reference (PDF/Word) with no picks, no affiliate links, and no claim to beat the house.

21+ · Educational reference only. Every figure in this document is arithmetic re-derivable from the inputs shown — none of it is a claim about a specific market, and no method removes the built-in house margin. If gambling is affecting your life, support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.